U.S. PCE Inflation Remains Unchanged at 3.7 Percent Amid Ongoing Energy Price Pressures

Here's what it means for you.
Rising inflation rates could impact your purchasing power and investment strategies.
What happened
The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index remained unchanged at 3.7 percent year-over-year in July 2026.
The Context
- Energy prices are a key driver: The ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict has led to elevated energy costs, affecting overall inflation.
- Federal Reserve's challenge: With inflation above the 2 percent target, the Fed faces tough decisions ahead of its September meeting.
- Limited spillover effects: While energy prices surged, core inflation measures showed only slight increases, indicating some resilience in non-energy categories.
The Number
— This year-over-year headline PCE inflation rate highlights persistent price pressures that could influence your financial planning and investment decisions.
Takeaway
As inflation remains elevated, expect potential shifts in monetary policy that could affect interest rates and market dynamics.
Right-of-center views on political news.
"The Washington Times is a conservative-leaning newspaper known for its political coverage and advocacy of right-of-center viewpoints."
— A47 Editor
Inflation index prized by Fed holds steady in July
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation index remained steady for the year ending in July, indicating stability in consumer prices amid ongoing economic fluctuations. This index reflects the prices Americans pay for goods and services, providing a ...
Global business headlines with AI angles.
"General business outlet that frequently covers AI."
— A47 Editor
The Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Rose In July. Expectations Of a Rate Hike Edged Up.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge rose in July, leading to an increase in expectations for a rate hike, which now stand above 40%, up from 39.6% earlier in the week. This shift reflects traders' reactions to recent economic data, includ...
Global business headlines with AI angles.
"General business outlet that frequently covers AI."
— A47 Editor
The Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Rose Again In July, But Was In Line With Expectations
The core personal consumption expenditures price index, a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, increased by 0.2% in July, resulting in an annual rate of 3.3%. This rise aligns with market expectations, indicating a steady inflation trend.
Markets, economy, and company analysis from NYT’s business desk.
"The New York Times is a globally recognized newspaper offering authoritative reporting with a center-left editorial stance."
— A47 Editor
PCE Index Shows Inflation Remained Elevated in July Amid High Energy Costs
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, remained elevated in July, indicating persistent inflationary pressures largely driven by high energy costs. Many households continue to struggle ...
Key macro releases (CPI, jobs, PMIs), surprise indexes, and market implications.
"Great for data-print awareness and instant read-through to rates and risk assets."
— A47 Editor
Fed’s preferred inflation metric floats above target range in July
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, remained above the target range in July, indicating ongoing inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy.