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    Federal Reserve Holds Benchmark Rate at 3.75% to 4% in 10-2 Vote as Bitcoin Trades Near $81,000

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    Minimalist dark display showing the Federal Reserve interest rate target range of 3.75 percent to 4 percent

    What happened

    On October 28, 2026, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-2 to hold the benchmark interest rate steady in the 3.75% to 4% target range.

    The Context

    * Split decision signals hawkish pressure: Governors Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point increase, pointing to persistent inflation above the Fed's 2% target despite solid domestic spending and stable labor markets. * Crypto assets absorbed the pause: Bitcoin fluctuated around the $81,000 threshold post-announcement, briefly pushing past the level as markets digested the decision after pricing in a 90% to 93% likelihood of a hold. * Global platforms maintained continuity: International hubs absorbed the rate stability seamlessly, with Dubai-regulated exchanges such as Bybit sustaining normal trading operations across digital asset pairs.

    The Number

    10-2

    The majority vote maintaining the 3.75%–4% benchmark, signaling that while the central bank paused for October, internal pressure for another quarter-point hike remains active.

    Takeaway

    Attention now pivots to the December FOMC meeting, where futures markets are already pricing in elevated odds of a year-end rate hike.

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