Channel 13 Exit Poll Projects Likud at 26 Seats as Neither Bloc Reaches Knesset Majority
What happened
Channel 13 exit polls project the Likud party will secure 26 seats in Israel’s 26th Knesset election, leaving both major political blocs short of the 61 seats required for a governing majority.
The Context
* A fractured parliament: The right-leaning bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu sits at an estimated 50 to 51 seats, while the opposing Zionist bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holds 52 to 53 seats in the 120-seat legislature. * The decisive fringe: Arab parties hold a projected 17 to 18 seats, creating a dynamic where neither primary coalition can establish governance without non-traditional alliances. * Regional exposure: The lack of a decisive mandate prolongs diplomatic ambiguity across the Middle East, directly influencing bilateral economic corridors and regional security cooperation.
The Number
— The projected seat count for Likud, which maintains its position as the largest single party while simultaneously falling 35 seats short of independent control.
Takeaway
Expect weeks of complex coalition horse-trading or an extended period of political deadlock, keeping cross-border investors and regional strategists in wait-and-see mode.
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